Nevertheless, following the energy crisis of the 1970s, several oil companies looked to Antarctica as a possible solution to future world oil shortages by announcing plans to exploit the continents resources. The necessary conditions for economically-sound oil production projects were beginning to ripen along with high oil prices and demand, and improved drilling technology. The prospect that Antarcticas fragile wildnerness could be tainted as a result of oil exploration and drilling activities resulted in the mobilization of several conservation groups who were intent on preserving the continents status as the most pristine in the world.
On January 28, 1989 the Bahia Paraiso, an Argentine navy transport ship hauling supplies and tourists, ran aground approximately two miles off the coast of Antarctica in the vicinity of Palmer Station. Although no one aboard the ship was injured, the wreck proved to be a setback for the nearby coastal ecosystem, as a 30-foot gash in the ships double-walled hull released some 250,000 gallons of diesel fuel and other petroleum products into the surrounding area. The effects from the fuel spill on the local flora and fauna were mostly limited to various sea bird, krill and moss populations, with few populations seeing mortality rates greater than 20%. Because the Bahia Paraiso spill was reportedly the first known accident of its kind in the Antarctic region, the accident alarmed environmental groups, which viewed the incident as a foreshadowing of future accidents if trends in tourism and ship transport were to continue at their current pace along the continental fringe.
The devastating March 24, 1989 Exxon Valdez oil spill in Alaskas Prince William Sound two months later sent an even stronger alarm around the world to dozens of international environmental organizations for the need to protect Antarcticas unique environment from similar accidents. Although avoiding altogether the issue of sovereignty claims, the development of the 1991 Protocol on Environmental Protection to the Antarctic Treaty is viewed as a model for future environmental treaties which employ the precautionary principle towards natural resource exploration.
Because of its influence on world weather and climate patterns, Antarctica lies at the heart of the debate on climate change and has become the premier location in which to study the effects of global warming. Over the course of the past 50 years, Antarcticas average year-round temperature has warmed by about 3-4 degrees Fahrenheit - more than 10 times the average worldwide increase during that period. As a result of these increases in temperature (which are not necessarily the result of global warming), the Antarctic continent has experienced changes in its landscape and ecology. Scientists are also concerned that with such dramatic increases in the icy continents temperature, significant rises in global sea levels could occur if Antarcticas thick polar ice sheet melts. The West Antarctic ice sheet alone, if melted, could raise average sea levels around the world by about 20 feet, resulting in the flooding of low-lying coastal zones.
Despite the numerous scientific research bases located on the continent, Antarctica produces negligible amounts of greenhouse gases and is not considered to be a significant contributer to the problem of global warming. In 1998, Antarctica produced 0.06 million metric tons of carbon, 100% of which came from the burning of petroleum fuel products. Carbon dioxide is the chief culprit among the greenhouse gases, which are blamed for contributing to a process called global warming. The theory of global warming states that as carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases continue to accumulate in the earths atmosphere, the earths natural warming process known as the greenhouse effect is intensified, thus resulting in higher global temperatures.
The effects of climate change on Antarctica vary from migrations of seal and penguin populations to other parts of the continent to abrupt changes in the glacial landscape. In March, 2000 the Larson B ice shelf in northern Antarctica - an area the size of Delaware - broke away from the continent and retreated into the sea. Similarly, in January, 1995, the Larson A ice shelf calved away from the continent, disappearing into the sea and bringing with it part of an Argentine base camp. Ice shelf instability is created as a result of higher sea and air temperatures, and a number of northern ice shelves have displayed similar trends such as the Wordie, Muller and Prince Gustav Channel shelves.
Perhaps most vulnerable to the effects of Antarctic climate change are the continents wildlife populations. Increasing temperatures, less ice, and more snowfall have altered the patterns and habitats of several Antarctic species, such as the southern fur and elephant seals and Adelie and Chinstrap penguins. Although the past 20 years have seen an increase in the numbers of Chinstrap penguins on the continent, the opposite is true for the Adelie penguin. As temperatures have increased, removing significant portions of sea ice, krill (a tiny shrimp-like crustacean) populations in certain areas have decreased significantly due to a reduction in the amount of their food source - algae - which grows on the bottom of sea ice. As krill is one of the mainstays of the Adelie penguin diet, the Adelie penguin population has decreased by almost 50% in some areas. Rising Antarctic temperatures also have resulted in more snowfall on the continent; making breeding difficult for the ice-loving Adelie penguins. Seal populations, on the other hand, have benefited from the reduction in sea ice as they prefer breeding and feeding in open waters. Several seal populations in Antarctica have increased their numbers by over 300% in the last 20 years.